1999
SENATE JOINT RESOLUTION 99-023
BY SENATORS Andrews, Evans, Lamborn, Arnold, Blickensderfer, Congrove, Hillman, Musgrave, and Tebedo;
also REPRESENTATIVES Clapp, Nuñez, Spence,
Allen, Dean, Decker, Fairbank, Hefley, Hoppe, Lee, Miller, Scott,
Smith, and Spradley.
CONCERNING AN INDEPENDENT PEER REVIEW OF THE FEDERAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PROBABLE MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION STUDY
USED BY THE UNITED STATES ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS IN THEIR REDESIGN
STUDY RELATING TO THE CHERRY CREEK DAM.
WHEREAS, The terms "probable maximum flood"
and "probable maximum precipitation" as used by the
United States Army Corps of Engineers are misleading terminology
because they are both improbable events with respect to the Cherry
Creek Basin; and
WHEREAS, The United States Army Corps of Engineers
has assumed the Cherry Creek Dam will fail following an extraordinarily
improbable chain of events; and
WHEREAS, The probable maximum precipitation is a
theoretical maximum only and has somewhere between a one in one
million to a one in one billion chance of occurring in any single
year; and
WHEREAS, The site specific probable maximum precipitation
study completed for the United States Army Corps of Engineers
by the National Weather Service has erroneously applied meteorological
procedures and fails to include documented historical paleo flood
evidence; and
WHEREAS, This error is further compounded by the
erroneous assumption that the topographic effects of the Palmer
Divide will increase the rainfall in the Cherry Creek Basin; and
WHEREAS, The probable maximum flood used by the United
States Army Corps of Engineers is more than twice the flood estimates
prepared by other dam safety officials; and
WHEREAS, Probable maximum precipitation estimates
in the western United States are typically about 3 times the 100year
rainfall event; and
WHEREAS, The United States Army Corps of Engineers
has used 7 times the 100year rainfall event; and
WHEREAS, The United States Army Corps of Engineers
and the National Weather Service have refused an independent
peer review, even though the federal Energy Regulatory Commission
regularly requires such peer reviews as part of its licensing
procedures for hydro power facilities at dams, and the Colorado
State Engineer has a similar policy for reviews of probable maximum
precipitation studies and is currently in phase II of a study
funded by Colorado Senate Bills 94029 and 97008 to
develop an alternative model to predict extreme rainfall amounts
for basins above 5,000 feet mean sea level; and
WHEREAS, Such an independent peer review panel should
consist of local experts in the fields of extreme precipitation
and flood hydrology that have knowledge of Colorado's unique climatological
conditions; and
WHEREAS, The March 5, 1999, "peer" review
response submitted by the United States Army Corps of Engineers
is simply another inhouse review prepared by the National
Weather Service, is not an independent analysis, and does not
address the full range of issues that are typically addressed
in a proper independent peer review; and
WHEREAS, The proposed construction of upstream dry
dams will displace many Coloradans from their homes and businesses
and destroy hundreds of acres of active agricultural land and
open space; and
WHEREAS, Any government agency proposal to spend
from $50 to $250 million of taxpayer money must be based on data
and assumptions that are as accurate as possible; and
WHEREAS, Because all alternatives being considered
by the United States Army Corps of Engineers will have substantial
negative impact on homes and families near the dam and upstream
of the dam and adversely affect property values, the cost of any
real estate that would properly be condemned should be included
in determining the cost of any alternatives considered; now, therefore,
Be It Resolved by the Senate of the Sixtysecond
General Assembly of the State of Colorado, the House of Representatives
concurring herein:
That no further funding of the United States Army
Corps of Engineers should be provided for the Cherry Creek Basin
Study until the United States Army Corps of Engineers completes
an independent peer review of the National Weather Service data
in order to determine the appropriate design flood for the Cherry
Creek Basin.
Be it further resolved,
That copies of this joint resolution be sent to the President
of the United States, the President of the United States Senate,
the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, each
member of Colorado's Congressional delegation, the Governor of
the State of Colorado, the Commander of the United States Army
Corps of Engineers, and the Colorado Water Conservation Board.
_________________________ _________________________
Ray Powers Russell George
PRESIDENT OF SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE
THE SENATE OF REPRESENTATIVES
_________________________ _________________________
Patricia K. Dicks Judith M. Rodrigue
SECRETARY OF CHIEF CLERK OF THE HOUSE
THE SENATE OF REPRESENTATIVES